Monthly Archives: November 2016

57

Isn’t the problem for them that it’s not the panic button but the first button? And sometimes the only button. twitter.com/RMConservative…

| 3 years ago on Twitter

18

So many times when Sessions was the *only* champion on immigration-control side. Cruz not close. Seems a big loss. twitter.com/amandacarpente…

| 3 years ago on Twitter

15

If @dansenor winds up with an ambassadorship out of this I don’t ever want 2 read about Trump’s vindictiveness again cnb.cx/2g2I45P

| 3 years ago on Twitter

51 The Big Flip?

Is it in the Democrats’ interest to finally put the immigration issue behind them? Here’s my thinking: Democrats always seemed to want to keep the immigration issue alive — it was supposed to be the key to mobilizing Latino voters. So Democratic leaders were comfortable resisting any kind of deal unless it was the total victory they wanted, namely a deal that (by placing amnesty before enforcement ) held out the prospect of large future flows of immigrants (i.e. Democrats). Anything less than that … well, don’t even think about a deal. They’d rather ‘have the issue.’

But now Democrats have learned a) the Latino vote is a whole lot less immigration-obsessed than the immigration-obsessed pollsters at Latino Decisions would have you believe; and b) Democrats desperately need a way to make populist common cause with the working class whites who responded to Trump’s border-control rhetoric.  One obvious way to win those white voters back is by taking immigration ‘off the table,’ allowing Dems to make their traditional, effective pitches about Social Security, Medicare, wages, trade, Wall Street, etc.

I don’t expect a Dem pivot in this direction anytime soon — the party, and especially its activists, are too immured in identity politics. But you’d expect at least some self-interested Congressional Dems to be much more open to an Enforcement First compromise along Trumpish lines: Do what has to be done to secure the border, then, eventually, do something to legalize the undocumented who are still here.

The future votes Dems would give up — no never-ending waves of illegal migrants to  eventually convert into voters, sorry! — would be more than compensated for by short and medium term access to the Trump Belt voters Dems fatally lost in ’16.**

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** — Immigration amnesty  was supposed to be a “threshold issue” for Latinos. But maybe border control is a threshold issue for the bulk of working class voters in the same way controlling welfare handouts (by requiring work) was a prerequisite for the success of Bill Clinton and Barack Obama — if you don’t get that issue right, don’t bother talking to them about anything else.

41

Sorry if I think “wall” means wall! In California we have a wall on border. It seems to work. Why not in Arizona? politi.co/2g1bMKp

| 3 years ago on Twitter

14

It’s a “metaphor”! It’s an “analogy”! Fresh-from-Fusion @tedhesson rounds up usual suspects 2 undermine Trump’s wall politi.co/2g1bMKp

| 3 years ago on Twitter

23

The more you think about it, the more “tax reform” could be strategy to soak up available Congressional attention &… twitter.com/i/web/status/7…

| 3 years ago on Twitter

30

Agree. But don’t think it’s 100% certain that Twitter “has no First Amendment obligations.” Cld be analogized 2 Pru… twitter.com/i/web/status/7…

| 3 years ago on Twitter

42

Let K St. lobbyists milk their clients for a year while tax reform’s being considered. They’ll be happy! Do immigra… twitter.com/i/web/status/7…

| 3 years ago on Twitter

57

Another @politico piece where it looks like an editor slapped on anti-Trump lede that rest of story doesn’t justify politi.co/2fVpKxF

| 3 years ago on Twitter