This is certainly the effect proponents of the 1996 welfare reform (soon to be subverted by Biden’s ‘child tax credit’ dole) wanted. Causality is presumably v-hard to prove–but in these graphs the trends sure seem to start turning around in late ’90s. https://t.co/AhGBcsMoNJ
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 26, 2021 at 03:00PM
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New exceptionally NSFW Parrot Room is up. https://t.co/l3U8xfMUe6
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 26, 2021 at 12:25AM
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But note that this Biden maneuver wouldn’t be “Kabuki.” It would be an actual double-cross, and GOPs would actually be mad at Biden. (They should resist blowing up the deal that gives them leverage over progressives, though. Pass it. Let Biden not sign it if he dares.) https://t.co/p8m0QhgXAu
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 10:58PM
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That’s why progressive might really want to tank the bipartisan bill while making it look like GOPs did it–bipartisan bill gives House moderates (not just Manchin) leverage to gut reconciliation https://t.co/wADwIVzd2j (See https://t.co/DfuNVH7aFi) https://t.co/q2w2eUuw5e
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 10:55PM
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That said, this @Allahpundit piece seems too Manchin-centric. 1) He’s not only one who could tank “tandem” reconciliation bill. There aren’t 5 moderates in House? 2) Even if moderates in either House don’t tank reconciliation, progressives might worry they can water it down. 1/2 https://t.co/p8m0QhgXAu
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 10:50PM
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Everyone knew there would be two tracks. That didn’t mean the bill on the 2d track (reconciliation) would have to PASS. That’s the Biden surprise double cross twist.(Might lose if House moderates oppose–not just Manchin.) https://t.co/xyOO9T4UEv
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 10:45PM
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Seems plausible that Biden purposely double-crossed GOPs to provoke them to walk away from deal. (They shouldn’t.) Alt. theory: incompetent waffling. https://t.co/pSjHCS0Hvg
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 10:42PM
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Biden didn’t just “say the quiet part out loud.” He said something new. (“conditioning signing one with the passage/signing the other is what’s new”) https://t.co/LhIbjVEDOV
https://t.co/sme04oi31c via @politico
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 26, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 10:30PM
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Garland suing Georgia over voter ID a couple of days after Democrats had seemingly flipped to support voter ID? https://t.co/SNsyIRo1vs
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 02:35PM
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REMINDER: Why do progressive Dems want One Big Bill (and not the bipartisan deal on the hard infrastructure plan)? https://t.co/wADwIVzd2j
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 02:28PM
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Biden was talking about letting the bipartisan bill become law without his signature? I don’t think so. https://t.co/sU0Ly4Ndis
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 02:26PM
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Sure looks like it’s falling apart … https://t.co/AQzSb6hxhY
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 02:09PM
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Biden can stand up to his party’s left wing! For 2 hours. https://t.co/tHBClD34Ad
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 02:02PM
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Huh. Why did Biden propose two plans (American Jobs Plan, American Famiies Plan) if they’re really one plan?
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 01:53PM
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What does this Pelosi strategy say about her confidence in her ability to get an unadulterated “soft” Families plan through the House on its own (by holding all her Democrats)? https://t.co/Prx9Gc4rxi
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 01:50PM
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Sure seems like a double cross to me. … https://t.co/4KEEtE6oxq
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 01:09PM
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Even if progressive Dems turn against the bipartisan “hard” bill, Senate GOPs should pass it anyway–that will empower Dem moderates in reconciliation negotiations. See>> https://t.co/wADwIVzd2j
https://t.co/i8LfQisS5p
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 04:13AM
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What if Manchin calls Pelosi’s bluff? Pelosi’s going to run in the midterms on “We passed nothing”? https://t.co/Prx9Gc4rxi
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 03:47AM
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.@NYTimes story on the state of “infrastructure” deals describes the “reconciliation” package twice and doesn’t once mention the dole-like “Child Tax Credit” which is the key thing in it for many Dems. There are some things NYT doesn’t want voters to know. https://t.co/G2XBj2UUWX https://t.co/TAVDHwInyP
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 25, 2021 at 03:28AM
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NARRATOR: “It won’t be paid for.” https://t.co/20wi8T8ca7
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 24, 2021 at 08:52PM
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‘Wind’ includes … voters.
But it’s not a switch from his earlier proposal with Lee. https://t.co/gxJPvqhlJL
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 24, 2021 at 08:51PM
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Makes Biden look weak and improvisational …. (Opposition from ‘soft infrastructure’ Left was a surprise?) https://t.co/EJs4HpX2i2
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 24, 2021 at 08:42PM
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If Progressive Dems could push a button and make the bipartisan infra bill go away, they would, right? And it’d be rational-from their POV-to push the button https://t.co/wADwIVzd2j
Maybe they’ve already pushed it. https://t.co/EJs4HpX2i2
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 24, 2021 at 08:39PM
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‘I won’t sign this popular bipartisan bill I negotiated unless you also give me a bloated partisan bill.’ Not sure that works. Maybe! https://t.co/Zs9O5bmjn9
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 24, 2021 at 08:33PM
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The night is young https://t.co/uaVLAmmbbR
— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Jun 25, 2021
from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey
June 24, 2021 at 08:25PM
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