Reupping from yesterday’s (and tomorrow’s) debate: https://t.co/sZ64KzQ5RT

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 04:35PM
via IFTTT

Bonus: Immigration–unlike crime, which is mostly handled on the state and local level–is unambiguously a federal issue, ripe for debate in mid-term Congressional election. https://t.co/g0h68tonZT

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 04:24PM
via IFTTT

Hmm. Immigration is a very salient topic (below abortion, above crime (!)) on which voters highly disapprove of Biden’s handling, 60 to 32. [Poll here: https://t.co/RoGlLAAqKw] Seems like it might be a good GOP issue! But what do we know. https://t.co/VyZeRKQ64d

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 04:19PM
via IFTTT

You know that “great battle…between democracy and autocracy” we constantly talk about? Fuck it. We’ve got a midterm to win (and can’t allow any images that capture the reality of our porous border policy). https://t.co/rBCaxN4BJi

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 04:00PM
via IFTTT

“‘I believe they were terrified of immigration as an issue in the midterms and beyond,’ [former U.S. envoy] Foote says.”

They didn’t know GOP’s DC consultants would bury the issue for them. https://t.co/GTDcmkyjZA

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 03:53PM
via IFTTT

“[Acting Haitian Pres. Ariel] Henry agreed to take in deported Haitians, Foote says, and the Biden administration stopped pushing for democracy on the Caribbean nation.” https://t.co/GTDcmkyjZA

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 03:49PM
via IFTTT

We need to talk about the RNC’s 2012 autopsy https://t.co/khUHgpp4dj

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 01:06PM
via IFTTT

Won’t be good if getting the Epstein client list (of blackmailable big shots) becomes a red (MAGA) vs. blue issue. The press & law enforcement bureaucracy only seem eager to pursue this scandal when they think it’s a way to hurt Trump (i.e they think he’s on list or via Acosta) https://t.co/rKyaBvmj8i

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 05:05AM
via IFTTT

Weird that this would happen now, in an election year, when Democratic criminal justice policies seem to be at least partly behind an increase in crime … https://t.co/PWVGAcPIru

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 02:51AM
via IFTTT

They didn’t snap up Taylor Lorenz? https://t.co/uCeyPE5jhk

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 15, 2022 at 12:03AM
via IFTTT

Oz numbers in this poll are terrible: Large majorities say he’s a phony and a carpetbagger who handles himself badly.

Yet he’s only 5 points behind (52-47).

Says something about … the issue environment? https://t.co/e3Gu5cwCem

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 15, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 11:24PM
via IFTTT

Old party line: ’96 welfare reform will mean “children sleeping on grates, picked up in the morning frozen.” (Moynihan)

New party line: OK, child poverty actually plunged to record lows. But it had nothing to do with welfare reform! We swear! Here’s a study we just cooked up… https://t.co/p8J990GJst

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 06:08PM
via IFTTT

Who are the Horton Brothers? Fetterman helped free them, then hired them. Says they were “wrongfully convicted.” Looks like that is…highly questionable. Let’s say highly questionable. There was evidence. Lots of evidence https://t.co/gT7awFj9vB https://t.co/HuUbeBo6Dj

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 05:54PM
via IFTTT

This after attacking the ’96 welfare reform for decades….

Don’t say they can’t pivot on a dime. https://t.co/sZ64KzQ5RT

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 05:35PM
via IFTTT

Does Census data (used by e.g. @CenterOnBudget to tout anti-poverty impact of child tax credit) have this problem? Looks like maybe yes-it’s imputed by model https://t.co/jjyEebBxqE tho Census says it “assumes less than 100 percent take-up among potentially eligible recipients.” https://t.co/tx5cvZ4kQp

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 05:28PM
via IFTTT

Left and Center/Right agree: the data used by NYT overstate the impact of government aid. https://t.co/5OUwMjtokE

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 04:33PM
via IFTTT

For example: “the data used to measure the antipoverty effect of the EITC is based on a tax simulation that assumes 100 percent of families receive the benefits that they are eligible for. But the real number is 78 percent.” Charlie Peters would call this Washington Make-Believe. https://t.co/5OUwMjtokE

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 04:30PM
via IFTTT

Note that the numbers underlying the NYT article are also under attack from the left for overstating the impact of cash transfer programs — the Child Tax Credit as well as the Earned Income Tax Credit https://t.co/Qmv4h91Xxn https://t.co/zhzWYuiFfL

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 04:28PM
via IFTTT

Liberals now using the success of welfare reform (incentivizing work, encouraging cohabitation-a bit, enabling greater work-based aid) to try to undermine welfare reform (by pushing no-work-required child “tax credit” checks). https://t.co/BK9tmOUhLp

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 04:07PM
via IFTTT

WACKY AND BIASED: “this modeling decision means that economic changes that occur uniformly for all states (say, broad-based growth) are neglected for purposes of estimating the relationship between those changes and child poverty” But national changes in aid get counted! https://t.co/PmdeAWmK9l

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 03:58PM
via IFTTT

Turns out the assumptions underlying the Child Trends study (reported in NYT https://t.co/lgIQrtS0DD) are wacky and biased–in the direction of crediting safety net aid rather than greater work and income with the decrease in child poverty. https://t.co/qi8pcYK12t

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 03:53PM
via IFTTT

More on the “Supplemental” poverty line con here https://t.co/1mUWQ4DUli https://t.co/cIYZs8gvpi

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 02:39AM
via IFTTT

It would be nice if we could know the effect of the Child Tax Credit & EITC without using the Census’ fancy new “supplemental” poverty measure, which 1) measures inequality not poverty and 2) is so complicated it can’t be explained https://t.co/HNdY87RIsC https://t.co/pMwOlln4Uv

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 02:37AM
via IFTTT

This is one woke campaign where rich Westside LA liberals get off the boat https://t.co/xYzFscZDb6

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 12:34AM
via IFTTT

Stop systemic donut oppression https://t.co/xYzFscZDb6

— Mickey Kaus (@kausmickey)
Sep 14, 2022

from Twitter https://twitter.com/kausmickey

September 14, 2022 at 12:31AM
via IFTTT