Nevada is the most problematic state on your list (as other commenters noted). I think that Wisconsin, Michigan, & Pennsylvania have an outside chance of going for Trump. (Wisconsin has to be 5,000+ for Trump, or they’ll “steal” it in Milwaukee!) I do think the Anthony Weiner 650,000 emails will sink Hillary by Election Day. (But what do I know.)
@kausmickey @270toWin CO, PA
@kausmickey Do you really think he can win NH or NV? I don’t see a chance in either state.
@kausmickey That’s probably the most plausible. It’ll be tough to get any big Hillary-leaning states like WI, MI, PA, or VA. But who knows?
@kausmickey your Maine vote is backwards
@kausmickey @270toWin NH has too many grown ups for this plan to work.
@kausmickey @270toWin Agree. Think NH CO WI are most realistic. PA Va are expensive $ pits
@kausmickey Trump isn’t going to win NH or NV. I doubt he wins NC or FL, either.
@kausmickey Colorado and NH key swing states on your map.
@kausmickey He has NO path to victory without Floriduh and he is losing BIGLY in early voting. Probably shouldn’t have pissed off women
@chrisfrompitt @kausmickey correct makes it 270
@kausmickey @270toWin Whatever happens no vacation for you. Ryan will get up to shenanigans in the coming weeks.
@O__Robinson @kausmickey @270toWin and by grown ups you mean libs who fled the onerous govt they voted for in MA but still stuck on stupid
@DRayRaven @kausmickey most Nevada polls show him winning. CNN today shows him up 6
@kausmickey @270toWin I have 0 confidence in NH. All your other swings look right. Think he just needs 2 play them all & hope 1 turns up red
@kausmickey I really can’t see Maine statewide happening
@kausmickey @270toWin Look for surprise in CO. Republicans are now inching ahead in returned ballots
@kausmickey Did Fallows give up on asking you?
Nevada is the most problematic state on your list (as other commenters noted). I think that Wisconsin, Michigan, & Pennsylvania have an outside chance of going for Trump. (Wisconsin has to be 5,000+ for Trump, or they’ll “steal” it in Milwaukee!) I do think the Anthony Weiner 650,000 emails will sink Hillary by Election Day. (But what do I know.)
@losthunderlads @kausmickey I’m on the CA campaign. We are sending lots of ppl into NV. Big enthusiasm there now. He’ll win NV.
@blair_a_nathan @kausmickey I think Trump will pull an upset and steal one of these.
@rdetert @kausmickey If he steals one, he could steal them all–if he gets a surge of previously disengaged, undercounted voters.