Eight (8) theories on the heavily advertised embrace of Trump over Cruz by the disembodied GOP “establishment”:
1. They actually want to kill off Trump. The Establishment is not stupid. It knows voters hate it. Its embrace of Trump could be the kiss of death. Problem: Too obvious.
2. They actually want to kill off Cruz: They despise Cruz both on characterological and institutional grounds, as described here and here. They are not faking their preference for Trump. Problem: Are they dumb enough to think they have the power to derail Cruz in this political climate?
3. They actually want to kill off Rubio to promote Jeb!: By seeming to embrace Trump, they’re signalling they no longer have faith in former favorite Marco Rubio’s viability, as MSNBC’s Chris Hayes tweeted. But the Trump embrace is a fake! Once Rubio and Cruz have been derailed, the Establishment lane will be wide open for Jeb!, who’ll win in a head-to-head with Trump. Problem: Will Beltway pissing on Cruz really be interpreted as a devastating dis of Rubio? Seems a little hot takey. [Indeed, Hayes’ tweet may have been a joke.] And who, exactly, cares if the DC Establishment loses faith in Rubio? Some funders, maybe. Not voters, you’d think.
4. They’re actually trying to help McConnell: Even if they don’t think they can derail Cruz, they’ll get points with the Senate Majority Leader for trying to discipline an obnoxious freshman who caused him trouble and called him a liar. And if you’re a K St. lobbyist it may be more important to get Sen. McConnell on your side than to get your first choice into the White House.
5. It’s all about immigration. They’re actually still trying to pass amnesty: They realize the best way to get a legalization bill isn’t to elect an amnesty supporter like Rubio and then ram it through with the help of the MSM — that opportunity has passed, thanks to voters. No, their best hope now is to let the voters elect a vocal opponent of legalization (Trump) and then “coach” him into accepting legalization. Problem: Wishful thinking? Trump seems heavily invested in immigration control. Maybe there is an “Enforcement First” deal that could be cut, with Trump bludgeoning Dems into going along. But the GOP Establishment has never embraced it before.
6. They just want to win: They recognize Trump’s ability to reach out to new groups of general election voters, including African Americans. Problem: Why didn’t they realize this seven months ago?
7. They’re just bowing to the inevitable: Lobbyists are adaptive. Like it or not, Trump is going to win. Maybe if they curry favor with him now … Problem: Still seems a little early for this. There’ll be plenty of time after New Hampshire or South Carolina.
8. They are patriots: After careful thought, they’ve concluded that whatever his chances, Trump will make a better president. Problem: Yeah, right.
I favor #5, of course, which is why I stuck it in. You? …
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/jbnRQQyZUj
Mickey Kaus:”8 Theories in Search of an Establishment”https://t.co/FHBO1EJKaf
Establishment for #Trump https://t.co/TGQFOVo7Tx
9. Ask any #SCOTUS justice from Kennedy-on-Left or Sarah Palin
“Kewl” trumps Constitutional
8 Theories for Why the GOP Establishment Is Tilting to Trump over Cruz. https://t.co/jbnRQQyZUj
RT @kausmickey: 8 Theories for Why the GOP Establishment Is Tilting to Trump over Cruz. https://t.co/B1IvEdll8y
I believe they want to scuttle Cruz. He’s never played their games and are that he will stick to conservative principles. Whereas Trump has no principles. They are terrified of Cruz.
9. It didn’t matter till Cruz looked this strong this late, which triggered action on partial combination of 2 and 6 above, extended to worry about down-ballot races.
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/DtroK6N2LP
2. Any legitimization of Trump makes it easier for fence sitting Republicans to vote for him.
I can agree with #5, but I suspect #9:
They’re incompetent at politics.
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/Qg0ypdV9tT
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/6tSuUlHdkx
8 Theories why the warped GOP establishment prefer #Trump over #Cruz. #tcot #GOPDebate http: https://t.co/deVfKac0eF https://t.co/6euOC9cglJ
9. They really believe if they let Trump knock off Cruz, they’ll be able to beat Trump in the South with Bush. They’d be much more worried if Cruz came into the South in good shape, since he’s from Texas.
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment – https://t.co/C7MAUkEcYf
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/cbs6Haocio
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/cJvxROqM2a author mickey kaus is a prog but this is entertaining in a prog kinda way
Even the GOP establishment has realized how fun it will be to watch Trump crush Hillary like a bug.
[…] 8 Theories in Search of an Establishment – To tie Trump to the GOP Establishment is to tie an anchor around his neck. […]
#7 Trump in a landslide. Trump probably wins Iowa, then wins big In
NH and SC, and Cruz ends up being right, it’s all over by march 1st.
Only southern state anybody else has a chance in is Texas.
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/n3UwebIzlo
10. It’s about 2020. Establishment Rs cannot stand the prospect of Cruz candidacy dominating next four years inclusing midterms.
It’s all about Progressive brainwashing. The establishment is Progressive and they love that self-injury dogma that consumes like a black hole.
Cruz will defund Progressivism. Trump believes he can tame it.
What this really means is: I have no clue.
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment https://t.co/4duM8pIRPN
Because the simplest explanation couldn’t be right, could it?
The GOP Establishment is embracing Trump because they realize that he is one of them: “Trump has no obvious core political beliefs.”
Or as another Establishmentarian said, “Trump is a deal-maker.” Just like us.
Conspiracy theories… because nothing can ever be obvious.
8 Theories in Search of an Establishment | Mickey Kaus https://t.co/O654oaaAh5
They want to tank Cruz now because they are worried he could win against Hillary. They believe Trump would ultimately lose against Hillary in the general, once the media is focused on Hillary v. Trump. For the corrupt GOP establishment, a president Hillary is preferable to a President Cruz. I.e., amnesty and the continue flow of goodies will be assured with a president Hillary.