Category Archives: Uncategorized

23

Voxdotcom just announced, “We are looking for a fast-moving, forward-thinking, innovative editor to lead a team of writers focused on gender, sexuality, race, and criminal justice.” The editor would “[c]onceptualize and implement an editorial strategy for the race and identity team.” You can’t say, ‘They’ve only been in business for a year and already these overambitious Juiceboxers sound like The Man!’ OK, maybe you can say that. But Vox is not alone in the hunt for talent!

Kausfiles is looking for an editor to conceptualize and implement an editorial strategy for our Sustainable Resentment and Animosity Desk. Here is the job notice:

******************************

JOB APPLICATION FOR EDITOR AT KAUSFILES

We’re looking for a defensive, pissed-off editor to lead a team of bitter, underpaid writers to rehash the ideological battles of the 1980s! The editor would conceive, manage and shape this coverage until the entire team quits. Except that there is no team. We weren’t going to tell you that until you showed up, but the cat is out of the bag now.

We’re looking for someone with:

— A minimum 6 years of trolling experience

— Poor social skills

— The ability to take an idea and weave a compelling longform narrative around it and then realize that nobody reads that shit anymore and just tweet it out at 3 AM.

— Mastery of traditional hack devices, including “Oh wait …” “Squirrel!” and “BWAHAHAHA”

— Headline writing magic!

— The ability to take a story from “good enough” to “great” but really why bother?  Where’s the payoff for that? I mean, if it’s good enough it’s good enough. Probably too good. This is the Web.

— A history of controversy and abrupt departure who is not Dave Weigel.

Duties:

— Get up by 11 AM. We mean it this time.

— Cultivate and curate a broad variety of grievances and enemies in diverse occupations who might have been useful to you in an era when writers actually had “careers” but are now going to be pretty much SOL and unemployed themselves one day soon (unless they can get that FOX gig).

— In particular, hound anyone of a group designated as “Whippersnappers” even if they claim newfound maturity or appreciation of Carter-era skepticism about the Davis-Bacon Act.

— Bring the finest wines available to humanity here, now.

— Not back down even when the target of your trolling DMs you and says “Didn’t you used to be a serious person?”

— Get dressed (optional).

Salary: BWAHAHAHA. Squirrel! Oh wait.

33

That was fast: So Bernie Sanders is for open borders, but only with one country: Mexico … P.S.: OK, Canada too. Easy to overlook! Still. Was it only Thursday that Sanders was worrying that mass immigration would “substantially lower wages in this country”? Do unskilled Mexicans have some magical properties that suspend supply and demand that unskilled immigrants from other countries lack? …

168 Coulter’s Challenge

Ann Coulter and Donald Trump Walk Into … : I wasn’t entirely happy when I learned my friend Ann Coulter’s new book was going to be 100% about immigration.  Not because I feared she’d hurt the cause of immigration control — a defensive battle our side has been winning, so far, despite a concerted push by the entire Democratic party, half the Republican party, half (secretly) of the politicians who claim to represent the other half of the Republican party, virtually the entire press (including Fox), virtually all of business, and virtually all big money political donors (including the Kochs!).  It’s just that I’d found my own comfortable, sincere dogma on the subject, and I  worried that she’d upset it, which is what she tends to do.

My party line, in clip and save form, was:

1) The immigrants we get, including illegal Mexicans, are mainly hard-working potential citizens, like waves of immigrants before them; 

2) The problem, as Mark Krikorian argues, is that we’ve changed, and the world has changed. We don’t need unskilled labor like we used to. Our native unskilled workers are having trouble earning a living.

3) The main reason to limit immigration flow, then, is to protect wages of Americans who do basic work. We desperately need a tight labor market. We won’t get it as long as millions of people from abroad respond to any tightening by flooding our work force.

4) The most important thing, then, is getting control of that number by securing the border — stopping illegal immigration. Once that’s done we can argue about what the legal number should be (and what should be done about current illegals).

5) But if wages are rising,  it could be a reasonably big number! See point 1; 

6) There are second-order worries about cultural assimilation, especially the huge flow from Mexico, a nation a day’s drive away many of whose citizens (polls show) don’t acknowledge the legitimacy of our Southern border.

7) One solution is to let in more people from other, non-Mexican cultures — Koreans, Chinese, Africans, Indians, etc.  We want diversity! Ha ha. That joke never gets old.

All in all a nice, relatively safe, liberal restrictionism. Works for me.  Sure enough, Coulter isn’t buying it. She goes further. Much further. Perhaps too far! Her book would be incendiary if Donald Trump hadn’t come along and made her look like Desmond Tutu. Now maybe we can consider her six big points coolly and calmly. Probably not, of course. But here they are :

1) Cultures differ, and culture matters: “The central conservative truth is that it is culture, not politics, that determines the success of a society,” said Daniel P. Moynihan in his finest try for Bartlett’s.** Does anyone really doubt this? If businessmen can make millions babbling about corporate “culture” — If Reddit can have a culture — why can’t we talk about the cultures from which immigrants come? Maybe they assimilate over time, maybe they don’t. But we can’t assume that everyone and all cultures automatically assimilate at some sort of fixed pace. Thought experiment: What if the entire population of Central America, India, Bangladesh, Russia and Western China –some 1.8 billion people — miraculously moves to the U.S. in a month. Screen them for criminals and terrorists. Don’t change any U.S. laws to accomodate them. Construct plenty of housing and schools and roads in advance. In two years the country wouldn’t look anything like the country we know now, of course.  Do you think it would it retain the things we now value about America? That it would be a better place? Good. I don’t either. Now we are just haggling over the size and pace of the inflow.

Here’s how Coulter puts it (after noting that immigration advocates say that “If you oppose how we’re changing the country, you’re against Lupe, the maid”):

Never in human history has a country simply decided to turn itself into another country like this. No offense to Mexico. Love the food! But Japan doesn’t say, “Let’s become Sweden!” FInland doesn’t say, “Let’s be Scotland!” I don’t want to live in Japan. I don’t want to live in Scotland. I wanted to live in America. So did Lupe. Why don’t American elites?

2) Some cultures are “better” at becoming American than others: The fatal mistake, in Coulter’s eyes, was Teddy Kennedy’s 1965 immigration act, which “snuffed out the generous quotas from countries that had traditionally populated America–England, Ireland and Germany”–and added “family reunification” policies, allowing recent immigrants to bring in their relatives [not just their nuclear families], and those relatives to bring in their relatives, until entire Somali villages have relocated to Minneapolis.”

The results are often deeply disturbing. Consider the Hmong, who initially came here in large numbers after the Vietnam War:

Only someone in the news business could be expected to notice, but a rape epidemic has been sweeping through all the Hmong hot spots in America: Fresno, California; St. Paul, Minnesota; Green Bay, Wisconsin; Boulder, Colorado,; and Detroit, Michigan. …

In one case

the American judge sentenced the rapist to only 120 days in jail after his lawyer said that, in Hmong culture, if a woman doesn’t fight her rapist with sufficient ferocity, the rapist and victim are considered married. (Note to Hmong: You might want to put this on your Match.com profile.)

We’re “still taking in thousands of Hmong ‘refugees’ every year,” Coulter says, so that now “there are an estimated 273,000 Hmong” living here.

Was America short on Hmong?

Seems a fair point! It’s not crazy to want to pick and choose the most compatible cultures. And there’s a big problem with “dumping the poorest of the poor, cultures that are vastly different from our own, on a lot of middle-class communities.”

3) Crime, in particular is an issue: Coulter was driven to focus on immigration, she says, out of frustration when she discovered that the government makes it virtually impossible to find good statistics on the amount of crime committed by immigrants:

Every time you think the government has finally produced a real number of immigrants convicted of crimes in America, there’s a catch. Legal immigrants will be excluded, convicted criminals whose country of birth is unknown are left out, Hispanic criminals will be classified as white …

Like Trump, Coulter thinks the actual amount of immigrant crime is “staggering.” Unlike Trump, she doesn’t claim the Mexican government is intentionally sending us bad actors. She argues culture, not conspiracy (or genetics). The habits we don’t like — a non-progressive view of women, for example — are characteristic of many “peasant” cultures. Mexico just has the closest.

Are Coulter (and Trump) right about immigrant crime? Coulter certainly presents a lot of horrifying anecdotal evidence — more than enough, actually. She has great fun mocking the mainstream press for actively suppressing anything suggestive of an immigration link. (She fisks an absurd New York Times account of the shocking gang rape of three young girls by two dozen men — an account that never does tell readers the rapists and victims were Hmong, though it does make a point of reporting that “everyone” agrees “what  happened here could have happened anywhere, perhaps in a fraternity house or in a basement in a predominantly white suburb …”) There’s non-anecdotal  evidence too — highly suggestive, not conclusive (like a 2006 DHS estimate of 605,000 foreign born criminals arrested by state and local law enforcement in a single year). More has come out in the wake of Trump’s rant. Steven Camarota  and Jessica Vaughan of Center for Immigration Studies argue we dont really know who’s right about immigrant crime, thanks in part to the flaws in the data that frustrated Coulter. (See also Ben Shapiro’s summary).

Now that the taboo has been broken, this seems like an area for a good academic fight. I wouldn’t be surprised if, when the dust settles, we discover that Latino immigrants, at least, fall somewhere between whites and blacks, crime-wise, as Latinos do on so many other scales. That’s what the C.I.S.’s data suggests.

I certainly advise against being fooled by academic studies showing Latinos commit fewer crimes than native Americans “similarly situated” –i.e., who are just as young and poor. Most Americans aren’t young and poor. If young and poor Latinos commit more crimes than the typical American (not the “similarly situated” American) that’s a huge cost of letting in lots of young and poor immigrants!  Why not pick immigrants who are likely to commit very few crimes?

4) Legal immigration matters: When I first heard the restrictionists at the Center for Immigration Studies lump illegal and legal immigration together, I thought they were weird. After all, border-controllers spend a lot of time fending off the charge that they’re “anti-immgrant.” The usual response: “That’s not true! I’m not against immigration! I’m against illegal immigration,” etc. And if you want to get control of the situation — well, that almost by definition means targeting illegal immigration (while allowing whatever immigration you decide to permit).

Yet if you worry about the effects of uncontrolled immigration on wages and culture, you have to admit that legal immigration, if large enough, could have exactly the same wage-depressing and culture-dissolving effect. Scott Walker got in huge trouble a few weeks ago when he dared to suggest setting the level of legal immigration low enough to allow U.S. workers to find good jobs. Had he joined Numbers U.S.A? No. He was just carrying the logic of supply and demand to its conclusion. Ted Cruz’s competing position — he’s for cracking down on illegals but for actually raising the number of legals — began to looked confused. If the “legal immigration can hurt” argument sticks, it will be a big shift, at least for the modern era. (For most of American history, of course, the level and composition of legal immigration has been the subject of lively debate.)

5) Diversity sucks! According to Coulter, my idea of a Los Angeles in which Korean immigrants live with Latino immigrants to produce a vibrant synergistic whole is insane. Diversity is “a train wreck.” Her big gun in this argument is the inconvenient work of a beloved liberal professor, Robert Putnam:

Contrary to his expectations–and desire –Putnam’s study showed that the greater the ethnic diversity, the less people trusted their neighbors, their local leaders, and even the news. People in diverse communities gave less to charity, voted less, had fewer friends, were more unhappy …It was not, Putnam said, that people in diverse conummnities trusted people of their own ethnicity more, and other races less. They didn’t trust anyone. …

Yikes. It may be that as various large social forces — divorce, electronic communication, mobility, prosperity itself  — conspire to make us a nation of Instagramming loners, we need the easy interfacing offfered by a homogeneous ethnic community more, not less.

I still resist that idea, since it can easily devolve into a cult of forced ethnic authenticity (e.g. blacks should stop ‘acting white,’ I’m not really Jewish, if you’re of mixed descent you’ve gotta pick one and go with it! etc.).  What about hybrid vigor, and the great things Americans have produced by muddling and mixing cultures? It’s hard to argue that the combination of African-American music and white hillbilly music hasn’t been one of the great luck-outs of mankind. Coulter accepts that “African Americans are every bit as much a part” of America as Anglo-Saxons, but says that makes America “bi-racial, not diverse.” Why won’t other cultural collisions produce achievements as felicitous as Chuck Berry’s? Maybe they will. But if I could come up with a good example I would have stuck it here.

6) We need a moratorium on immigration: You don’t need to accept any of Coulter’s heresies — cultures are unequal, diversity is bad, maybe today’s immigrants really are more problematic than previous waves — to oppose the smug consensus CW favoring “comprehensive” immigration reform. It’s enough to recognize that a) too much immigration bids down pay at the bottom, and that b) we’ll never control immigration if we try to do an amnesty before the border is secure (because the border security arrangements will promptly be undermined, as happened after the  last amnesty).

But politically, it’s not easy to succeed if you are just trying to block the other side’s initiatives — especially if they only have to win once to permanently change the playing field for future battles. Opponents of premature amnesty badly need to go on the offensive, to convince American employers’ that , given the voter anger laid bare by Trump, they’ll be lucky to keep getting the 1-2 million legal immigrants a year they’re getting now.

Coulter goes on offense. She wants a 10 year “total immigration moratorium,” on the grounds that any loopholes will be abused and expanded by the immigration bureaucracy. “Just shut it down.” It’s not a permanent ban — just a pause, a “time-out” while we assimilate the people we’ve already accepted and wait for labor markets to tighten. But if the moratorium idea gains traction — and I don’t see why it shouldn’t, it makes more sense than term limits– it would be a shock to the elites at least as big as Trump’s ongoing surge.

*  *  *  *  *  *  *  *  *  *

I used to worry that someone who can get on TV would raise the issues Coulter raises —  worry that if you claim there’s any kind of big differential when it comes to cultural assimilabilty, for example, you just piss people off and open the door to discrimination. If you wring your hands about Mexicans who don’t acknowledge the Southern border, you’re apt to produce a lot of angry, ethnically self-conscious Mexican-Americans who might decide, hey, now that you mention it, you did steal our land.

But we seem beyond those worries now. Ethnic identity politics has arrived and put down roots.  Continuing the taboos seems to mainly let groups like La Raza etc. suppress unpleasant truths — like that some immigrant groups really don’t look at the border the same way we do. A majority (52% ) of Mexicans, in a respected Pew poll, agreed that “Mexicans have a right to be in the U.S.,” while fully 66% thought the “U.S. government has no right to limit immigration.”  (That’s a poll of all Mexicans, in Mexico, not just of immigrants or likely immigrants.) Meanwhile, opponents have to hold their tongues, which makes them angrier.

It may be better to just have it out. I once heard the late Jody Powell say that the only honest conversation about race was in the bar car of the Southern Crescent after midnight —  I guess when people were trapped in one place and drunk enough not to worry so much about saying what they really thought. Let’s have that kind of conversation on immigration. The Coulter types can say the country was built on Anglo-Saxon culture. Mexicans can say ‘but we have a great culture. Why do you denigrate our culture?’ “Well, why are you the ones who want to come here?” “We were here first, actually.” “What you mean ‘we?’ You weren’t here first. You mean some of your ethnic ancestors you’ve never met.” “Their land was stolen.” “And Cortez? I suppose he paid Montezuma in cash?”

It’s harder to play the victim when the other side isn’t too scared (or sober) to argue back. I’d say an acceptable compromise on immigration (which would be some variation of  “Enforcement First,” not an amnesty-first “comprehensive” reform) becomes more likely, not less, once all these touchy, long-stifled issues are ventilated.  Coulter’s passionate*** and seemingly fear-free book is actually a relatively benign way to walk into the bar and start the polemical brawl.

__________

** — The second half of Moynihan’s great quote: “The central liberal truth is that politics can change a culture and save it from itself.”

*** — Coulter is often accused of acting, of being in effect a performance artist. ¡Adios America! ain’t that.

0

I want to be Joe McCarthy — you got to be Joe McCarthy last night.

44 Possibility #2: How Trump Could (Perversely) Save the GOP

Here’s another perverse possibility: a) Yes, Trump’s statements about Mexican immigrants are already so toxic they destroy whatever hope the GOP had of winning many more Latino votes in 2016; but b) that will force the eventual GOP nominee , probably not Trump, to pursue the alternative “Rust Belt” strategy — harvesting white working class votes — that actually has always been a better bet (since Latinos weren’t going to switch to the GOP next year anyway) but was resisted by the business- and donor-oriented GOP establishment because the latter favored more immigration and immigration amnesty. …

24 Possibility #1: How Jeb Can Hurt the GOP

Donors Choose — Badly! Huffington Post‘s poll of 500 GOP “activists” shows Jeb in miserable shape. He’s in sixth place, named as first or second choice by less than 15% of the activists. Some 47%  have an unfavorable opinion of him, and more then 1 in 4 say Bush (like Trump) is someone “they’d never vote for and that they’d be angry to see nominated.” So is it possible that a) Jeb can’t win but b) GOP donors have just given $100 million to a giant “independent” Death-Star-like SuperPAC that will inevitably spend much of it tearing down the Republican candidates (e.g. Walker, Rubio) who could win? Oops.

 

2

Dueling Ceilings: Mike Murphy, who runs the giant independent ¡Jeb! SuperPac, discounts Trump’s current polls because, though he’s in the lead, there’s a “ceiling” on his support. Fair enough. Trump’s high unfavorables do suggest an upper limit on Trump’s support. But  ¡Jeb! — scorned by large chunks of the GOP — has a ceiling too, and it appears to be lower than Scott Walker’s ceiling.  According to this poll, Walker’s unfavorable rating is about half that of ¡Jeb!, though both appear to have more room to grow than Trump. …

24 Jumping Trump’s Train

Rupert Murdoch has divined the real meaning behind Trump’s populist surge — it really reflects frustration with “endless regulations over people’s lives.” (“Thought this was Rand Paul’s issue,” Murdoch adds, helpfully.) Salena Zito knows that Trump himself is not important — what’s important is how his campaign reflects a transpartisan “skepticism about everything related to government,” an angry reaction against “incompetency” at the V.A., O.P.M. and F.B.I.. Ron Fournier reports that Trump’s popularity is really … well, some sort of Ron Fournierist outrage at everyone:

America’s ruling duopoly, long corrupted by lobbyists and donors, clinging to government institutions that work for party interests rather than for an e-connected populace buffeted by change,

OK! That about covers it. Note that none of these probing analysts even mentions the issue Trump’s most conspicuously campaigned on: immigration. It’s all about the issues they care about. Funny how that happens. Mike Kinsley used to call this the Howell Raines Fallacy — the assumption that “the great and good American people of course agree with me.” Especially when they’re angry! (Has E.J. Dionne written his version yet — the one about how Trump voters are really furious because the GOP Congress is obstructing Obamacare and neglecting the nation’s crumbling infrastructure? If he hasn’t, it’s coming soon.)

Only Dem blogger Greg Sargent of WaPo seems willing to even entertain the possibility that Trump gets his support from people who actually agree with him on the main issue he’s talked about. It can’t be that simple. …

 

14 ‘Attack Me, Donald. You Clown! I Said Clown!’

Trump probably thinks he’s discouraging people from attacking him by insulting them — in crude but not uninformed fashion — when they do. But he’s having the opposite effect, I think. Getting attacked by Trump is what you want right now. It’s surely the best thing that’s happened to John McCain in a while. RIck Perry too — Perry may make the debates because Trump questioned his IQ. It’s the logic of trolling, writ large.  … Trump’s fire would only be suppressive if his putdowns were so devastating the damage outweighted the publicity. But they aren’t. His best shot was probably the one against Mitt Romney — “He lost an election that should have easily been won against Obama” — because it put in words what most Republicans actually think. Even so, it was a net plus for Romney, I suspect. …

2

Trump’s putdown tweets have settled into a formulaic groove:

Dopey @Lawrence O’Donnell, whose unwatchable show is dying in the ratings, said that my Apprentice $ numbers were wrong. He is a fool!

Time for the Trump Twitter Insult Generator! Slate is asleep at the switch here. They’re not hard to generate. (“Whiny Neil Young–what’s he done since “Cinnamon Girl”? His enviro song sucks. I was best thing to happen to him. What a loser.”) …

 

5

Department of Items Tucker Carlson Might Spike! Fox claims that fewer Americans now favor deporting illegals over “setting up a system for them to become legal residents.” According to the network’s press release, now 30 percent favor deportation, down from 45 percent five years ago.” Never mind that those aren’t the only two alternatives — like all MSM polls, Fox’s leaves out “Let them stay ‘in the shadows’ while we install e-Verify” — Fox also subtly but significantly changed the question. The 2007, 2009 and 2010 version of the question [#30] asked about deportation “[i]f it were possible to locate most illegal immigrants currently in the United States.” The latest version leaves out that preface. Won’t people be more likely to consider deportation a viable option if the non-trivial problem of locating the deportees has been solved? Of course more pick deportation in the earlier version of the question. …

5

Mystery of the Uberexcitable Pundits, Part 2: Why the ferocious conservative pack criticism of Hillary for an attack on Uber she didn’t make?  Ira Stoll notes,

“Advance press on the speech indicated she was going to criticize Uber, Airbnb, and other companies that rely on “on-demand” workers rather than stable unionized workforces.”

OK! But what advance press? Stoll tells me (via Facebook) he’s talking about this Michael Grunwald preview in Politico. Grunwald  wrote:

Clinton’s aide said she will discuss some of the structural forces conspiring against sustainable wage growth, such as globalization, automation, and even consumer-friendly “sharing economy” firms like Uber and Airbnb that are creating new relationships between management and labor.

OK! Grunwald’s preview proved accurate — Hillary did list the “sharing economy” as one of the trends contributing to inequality and wage stagnation. Also contributing to inequality are venerable solid-citizen firms that merely invest in computers or import goods from abroad. It’s a big leap for commentators to have assumed Hillary would be attacking Uber any more than she’d be attacking Ford or Boeing or UPS. So why did so many people make that mistaken leap? Who made it first. or drove the overexcited meme?  Candidates include: 1) Journalists, desperate for a hip anti-Hillary take; 2) panicked Silicon Valley types, or 3) the Jeb! campaign. …

My guess is #3. Journalists move in packs, but left to their own devices they don’t tend to mount synchronized mass assaults. …

Update: NYT reports that Hillary’s campaign gave Uber a heads-up before the speech, so I guess Uber itself (a subspecies of #2) is a suspect, if its PR team sensed a chance for some beneficial publicity. I still lean toward #3. …

0

I put a pen on the table next to my bed when I went to sleep last night. I woke up with a note written on the palm of my hand: “Just don’t show them where the control knobs are.” Sound advice.

14 It’s All About Uber! Not.

The Phantom Menace to Holy Uber: It sure looks (to an outside observer) like some sort of bat-whistle went out to conservative bloggers that caused them (and, suspiciously, the Jeb! campaign) to tee up the idea that Hillary’s big economic speech would be a Luddite attack on Uber and the liberating technology of the ‘sharing economy.’ But then Hillary didn’t deliver the grist for the mill, choosing not to say much at all (shouldn’t that always be the expectation for a Hillary speech?)  That didn’t stop the bloggers from unleashing their pent-up paragraphs anyway.

Take the estimable Charles C.W. Cooke: He didn’t have a whole lot to work with when he sat down to craft the the lede graf of his stirring defense of Uber against the Hillary assault. Cooke made the most of what he was given, and then some:

 Developments such as AirBnB, Zaarly, Uber, DogVacay, and RelayRides, Clinton conceded, are not likely to “go away” any time soon. But they are worrying nonetheless. Indeed, the “sharing economy,” she proposed, is “polarizing” and it is disruptive — guilty of no less than “displacing or downgrading blue-collar jobs.”

The trouble is, Hillary’s talk about “polarizing” and “downgrading” was in the paragraph before she got to the “sharing economy” — a paragraph in which she discusses “ advances in technology and expanding global trade have created whole new areas of commercial activity … but too often they’re also polarizing …” She’s talking about the “tectonic” effects of trade and technology that predate anything you could put on an app — Japanese automakers almost putting Detroit out of business, for example, computers rendering obsolete whole levels of middle-management, millions of  low-skilled jobs shifting to Asia. This happened decades before Uber existed–even before Etsy, hard as it may be to imagine such a world. It’s a development more important than the recent advent of the “sharing economy” by a factor of about 1000.

That these two forces — trade, technology — tended to promote greater income inequality seems inarguable.** Would Cooke deny it? It’s actually a step in the right direction for a Democrat to acknowledge these seemingly unstoppable tectonic trends rather than ascribing blame to evil trickle-down policies of Reagan and the Bushes.

Would Hillary try to suppress the more recent “sharing” developments? Well, here’s what she said:

This “on demand” or so-called “gig economy” is creating exciting opportunities and unleashing innovation but it’s also raising hard questions about workplace protections and what a good job will look like in the future.

We know what she means by “hard questions”! Hillary later pledges to “crack down on bosses who exploit employees by misclassifying them as contractors,” which might be taken as a reference to recent disputes over the status of Uber employees, or might be a reference to the hundreds of other, more important corporations (e.g. Microsoft) who have run afoul of labor laws by trying to move work away from “employees” to freelancers.

So Hillary says the “sharing economy” is exciting and innovative but we’re supposed to be wildly alarmed and — and let loose torrents of satisfying anti-statist rhetoric — because she thinks Uber drivers should get unemployment benefits? She doesn’t even rule out adapting labor law to Uber, as opposed to the other way around.

P.S.: Cooke’s right that New Deal liberalism attached too many benefits to employment, resulting in the web of rules firms like Uber are understandably trying to wriggle out of.  One of the virtues of Obamacare is that it provides benefits, through its “exchanges,” that are independent of any employment. But when firms then cancel their plans and shift employees into the exchanges, do anti-New Dealers like Cooke applaud, I ask you? (The main problem with Obamacare isn’t that it nudges people onto the exchanges. The problem is that what it offers on the exchanges kind of sucks, unless you are poor enough — making less than $46,000 — to get subsidized.)

P.P.S.: None of this is to deny the galactic mismatch between Clinton’s perception of the problems caused by “advances in technology and expanding global trade” and her solutions: “a new $1500 apprenticeship tax credit … reviving the New Markets Tax Credit and Empowerment Zones,” dinging firms about overtime and magically reviving unionism.

I would argue the problem she outlines is insoluble. We should chill out about the general horror of relentlessly rising income inequality while we concentrate on preserving and expanding the institutions that can still give us social equality: schools, neighborhoods, the health care system, and, most important,  maintaining (through a tight labor market) at least a minimum standard of living for everyone who works.  That would be a different speech than the one Hillary gave.

Update: Lowry too! …

__________

** — See, for example, the cover of this eerily prescient volume, published in 1992.  Uber was founded in 2009.

5

Robert Tracinski, in The Federalist [via Ace]:

Now a major portion of the left has stopped even pretending that they value work. Hence the growing support for a guaranteed minimum income, a lifetime handout large enough to provide everyone with a comfortable existence. The goal, according to one supporter of this idea, is precisely to allow people not to work… [But] the evidence suggests that when people are paid just for breathing, when they lose the basic habit of working, they don’t spend their time writing symphonies. They sit on the couch smoking pot and watching bad TV.

That’s if we’re lucky. …

0

Thesis–Jeb! is susceptible to flawed bien pensant elite schemes: “Comprehensive immigration reform,” Common Core, government-promoted end-of-life directives. … Iraq War? Check (knowing what we knew then!) … If you like these ideas, you might also like: Common European currency! …

21

Maybe this is obvious: When voters are continually betrayed by those they put in office, they often resort to unapproved methods. I remember when David Duke was almost elected to the Senate from Louisiana in 1990. He got 43% of the vote! Were that many voters racists? I doubt it. Why would they vote for him, then? Well, take one of Duke’s issues, welfare.  For decades, conservative voters had supported politicians who promised to cut welfare, end welfare, support workfare instead of welfare–only to see welfare spread to cover more of the population. Voters didn’t understand there were children on welfare! Recipients had “barriers to employment”! You couldn’t expect them to work! Etc.

Louisiana voters may have figured, “Everyone we elect sells out on this issue. But this guy Duke’s a f**king racist maniac! At least he won’t sell out.”  Wackiness and bigotry became markers for “he means business.”

A similar, though less extreme, dynamic is clearly working in favor of Donald Trump.** Republican voters have sent lots of politicians to Washington who promise to get tough on border control and wind up supporting amnesty within about 35 minutes of their arrival. Marco Rubio, come on down! (Also Renee Ellmers and, um, Eric Cantor.) It’s all too realistic to expect that Scott Walker and even Ted Cruz will join these Election Day converts to comprehensivism, should either win national office. But this Trump guy — he’s out of control! He means business. He might actually build the danged fence.

This is also why Trump will likely be punished if he backpedals and apologizes for his wild overstatements disparaging Mexican illegals. It would have been easy for Trump to say he spoke imprecisely — ‘the vast majority of Mexican illegal immigrants are good people, but we’re getting a lot of bad people too, etc.’ [which I believe to be the truth***]. Talk more about the effect even law-abiding undocumented workers have on wages. He hasn’t done that. He knows voters regard his behavior as a sort of trial run for how fast he’d cave in office.

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** — Chris Matthews made this point today, before (absurdly) endorsing the Senate Gang of 8 amnesty bill as a way to placate “those angry about illegal immigration.”

*** — I’ve just finished Ann Coulter’s anti-immigration polemic, Adios America!, which may have influenced Trump. Coulter talks a lot about immigrant rapists, but she doesn’t say Mexico is sending us the dregs of its society, nor does she suggest that most Mexican illegal immigrants are criminal types. She says they come from a peasant culture, and peasant cultures are not known for, say, their progressive treatment of women.

22 Help! Walker’s losing Ron Brownstein!

The pensants are restive: Ron Brownstein says [on KCRW’s To the Point, at 20:40] that Scott Walker’s pursuing a “losing strategy” by a) talking about reducing legal immigration and b) supporting a constitutional amendment to overturn Obergefell. According to Brownstein, Walker was the man who could have bridged the GOP’s blue collar populist and social conservative half and its moderate, upper income wing. But now he’s alienated the latter. …

Seems like a highly suspect bit of punditry to me! Has Walker really burned his bridges with white collar, upscale GOPs with these two moves? Those Republicans probably don’t want to reduce legal immigration and aren’t bothered by same-sex marriage. But, unless they’re DC strategists or corporate CEOs, is it really important to them that immigration levels not ever be reduced? If the quota goes from 1 million a year to, say, 800,000 — that’s a killer for white collar GOPs? Might they likewise be willing to tolerate a candidate who formally supports a transparently doomed effort to amend the Constitution — the way GOP moderates in the 1980s tolerated Ronald Reagan’s various amendments about abortion and school prayer (and his opposition to the Equal Rights Amendment). …

This seems like a big flaw in the accepted “don’t-please-the-Tea-Party” analytic framework: Intensity matters, and it may be entirely possible to mobilize one wing of the party on issues they care a lot about (e.g. immigration) without sacrificing broader appeal — as long as those aren’t issues the other wings of the party care that much about. …

Thesis: Brownstein instinctively resists the idea that an immigration control position could ever be smart politically. His Next America empire is at stake! …

Further study: Does the same “intensity counts” logic apply, in mirror-image fashion, to Democrats? Maybe not.  To pick one issue, “higher taxes” may please the party’s left wing, but it’s hard to argue this isn’t something the party’s moderates care about. …

4

The 4% Non-Solution: WaPo‘s Greg Sargent tweets

Lib economists think raising overtime threshold is single biggest exec action O can do for middle class: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2015/01/06/the-next-big-fight-among-democrats/ … [Emphasis added]

Isn’t that kind of pathetic? Obama’s increase (in the upper salary threshold covered by the overtime rule) may boost the pay of “nearly” 5 million workers. There are about 122 million workers in the U.S. economy —  so according to my calculator the change will affect 4% of them. If that’s the biggest action Obama can take to help the middle class, it shows the severe limitations of his vaunted “pen and phone” strategy, no? …